METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
70%
Emmett
30%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Desmond GreenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Emmett · UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Emmett
→
Actual result
Green wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Emmett is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EmmettGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmett
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Emmett
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
15.6
46.3
Performance Avg
43.1
38
Quality of Victory
34
15
Momentum Score
41
Emmett
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.0
Style: Volume
7.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
17
2
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Emmett
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmett
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Emmett
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
41
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Emmett
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
EmmettGreen
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGreen
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Green absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (100% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Green · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Ross PearsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02