UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
70%
Emmett
30%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josh
Josh Emmett
19 – 7
5'6"70" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
DG
Desmond Green
"The Predator"
23 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Emmett

Emmett is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Emmett
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Emmett
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
15.6
46.3
Performance Avg
43.1
38
Quality of Victory
34
15
Momentum Score
41
Emmett
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
38%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
17
2
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Emmett
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Emmett
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
41
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Emmett
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmett
Green
Striking5.2 / 3.6Volume6.0 / 7.1Grappling1.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Emmett
Strike Zones
Green
Emmett
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY8LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Green
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY8LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Green absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (100% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmett
RND
Green
0/0R00/0

Emmett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.6L5.6W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W3.7L7.9L6.0W7.0L2.5L3.6L2016-052018-022022-062025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.6W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.3W2017-042018-022018-092019-05
WinLossTrend

Emmett · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Green · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Ross PearsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

Josh Emmett · Desmond Green
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