UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal
Seoul, South Korea
28 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
35%
Henderson
65%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Masvidal
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Masvidal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Henderson
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
35.2
51.8
Performance Avg
47.0
34
Quality of Victory
42
84
Momentum Score
43
Henderson
Masvidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
2
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
3Clinch4
2Ground1
Henderson
Masvidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Henderson
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Henderson
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
HendersonMasvidal
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (60% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11