METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Seattle, USA
8 Dec 2012
Lightweight
VS
35%
Henderson
65%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Nate Diaz · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendersonDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Henderson
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
35.3
51.8
Performance Avg
53.4
34
Quality of Victory
50
84
Momentum Score
100
Henderson
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
5
Body
2
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance0
10Clinch6
13Ground0
Henderson
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.6
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Henderson
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Henderson
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
10
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
HendersonDiaz
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (54% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (33% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08