METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Seattle, USA
8 Dec 2012
Lightweight
VS
35%
Henderson
65%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Nate Diaz · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendersonDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Henderson
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
35.3
51.8
Performance Avg
53.4
34
Quality of Victory
50
84
Momentum Score
100
Henderson
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
7.0
8.1
Style: Volume
3.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
5
Body
2
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance0
10Clinch6
13Ground0
Henderson
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
6.3
2
Submission wins
10
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henderson
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Henderson
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Henderson
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
10
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
HendersonDiaz
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (54% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (33% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08