UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Featherweight
VS
31%
Emmett
69%
Topuria
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Topuria
Topuria holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Emmett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Topuria has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Emmett
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
41
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
82.3
46.3
Performance Avg
77.5
38
Quality of Victory
62
15
Momentum Score
100
Emmett
Topuria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
3
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Emmett
Topuria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Emmett
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
9-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Emmett
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Topuria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
EmmettTopuria
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTopuria
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (50% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (63% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Emmett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Topuria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Topuria · Last 5
Upcoming
Justin GaethjeUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06