METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Featherweight
VS
32%
Emmett
68%
Topuria
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Josh Emmett · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Topuria holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Emmett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EmmettTopuria
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmett
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
41
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
78.3
46.3
Performance Avg
73.5
38
Quality of Victory
62
15
Momentum Score
100
Emmett
Topuria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
8.1
6.0
Style: Volume
3.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
3
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Emmett
Topuria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmett
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Emmett
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Emmett
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Topuria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
EmmettTopuria
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTopuria
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (50% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (63% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Topuria · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06