UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Russow
11%
Einemo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Russow
Russow is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Russow has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Einemo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Russow's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Russow
Einemo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'6"
73"
Reach
49+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Russow
Einemo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
2.1
45.8
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Russow
Einemo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.6
34%
Strike Accuracy
67%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch5
2Ground1
Russow
Einemo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Russow
Einemo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Russow
Einemo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Russow
Einemo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Russow
Einemo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RussowEinemo
Strike Zones
Russow
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedEinemo
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Russow targets the head (100% of attacks) — Einemo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Einemo targets the head (64% of attacks) — Russow absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Russow
RND
Einemo
0/0R00/0
Russow · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Einemo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Russow · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon Olav EinemoRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
W · R2
Jon MadsenRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R3
Todd DuffeeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
Einemo · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Mike RussowRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · KO · R2
Dave HermanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06