UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Chicago, USA
26 Jan 2013
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Russow
55%
Jordan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jordan
This is a genuine toss-up — Russow at 45% vs Jordan at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jordan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Jordan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Russow's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jordan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Russow
Jordan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
49
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Russow
Jordan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
21.9
45.8
Performance Avg
57.5
32
Quality of Victory
56
79
Momentum Score
72
Russow
Jordan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.9
34%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
32
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground22
Russow
Jordan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Russow
Jordan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Russow
Jordan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Russow
Jordan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Russow
Jordan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
RussowJordan
Strike Zones
Russow
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedJordan
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Russow targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jordan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jordan targets the head (97% of attacks) — Russow absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Russow
RND
Jordan
0/0R00/0
Russow · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Jordan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Russow · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon Olav EinemoRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
W · R2
Jon MadsenRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R3
Todd DuffeeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
Jordan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R3
Jack MayRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03