UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Lightweight
VS
47%
Bocek
53%
Henderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Henderson
This is a genuine toss-up — Bocek at 47% vs Henderson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Bocek throws more volume but Henderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bocek's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Henderson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bocek
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
75"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bocek
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
19.3
47.6
Performance Avg
51.8
38
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
84
Bocek
Henderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
1
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch7
3Ground7
Bocek
Henderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bocek
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Bocek
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
84
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Bocek
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
18%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bocek
Henderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
BocekHenderson
Strike Zones
Bocek
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedHenderson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bocek targets the head (80% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bocek
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
Bocek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Bocek · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06