UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Featherweight
VS
32%
Emmett
68%
Vallejos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vallejos
Vallejos holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Emmett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vallejos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Vallejos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Emmett
Vallejos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
41
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Emmett
Vallejos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
77.8
46.3
Performance Avg
71.5
38
Quality of Victory
53
15
Momentum Score
100
Emmett
Vallejos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
3.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
30
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance12
0Clinch10
0Ground14
Emmett
Vallejos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Vallejos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Emmett
Vallejos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Emmett
Vallejos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Vallejos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
EmmettVallejos
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedVallejos
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vallejos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Vallejos targets the head (83% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Vallejos
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Emmett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Vallejos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Vallejos · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03