UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Welterweight
VS
52%
Henderson
48%
Thatch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 3:58
BH
Benson Henderson
"Smooth"
24 – 7
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
BT
Brandon Thatch
"Rukus"
11 – 5
Knockout Artist4-fight slide40 yrsSwitch74" reach6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Henderson

This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 52% vs Thatch at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Striking split: Thatch throws more volume but Henderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Thatch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Henderson
Thatch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Henderson
Thatch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.8
51.8
Performance Avg
49.3
34
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
33
Henderson
Thatch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
4
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance5
0Clinch3
4Ground0
Henderson
Thatch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Thatch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
52
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Henderson
Thatch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
33
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Henderson
Thatch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henderson
Thatch
Striking1.6 / 10.0Volume8.1 / 0.7Grappling3.4 / 0.0Wrestling2.4 / 0.0Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Henderson
Strike Zones
Thatch
Henderson
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Thatch
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (53% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Thatch targets the head (88% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henderson
RND
Thatch
0/0R00/0

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W4.9W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.4W1.7L5.5L5.4W4.5W2011-042012-082014-012015-022015-11
WinLossTrend

Thatch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W5.0W3.4L2.6L4.0L2.2L2013-082013-112015-022015-072016-032016-12
WinLossTrend

Henderson · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06

Thatch · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4
Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6
Submission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

News & Media

Benson Henderson · Brandon Thatch
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