METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Welterweight
VS
52%
Henderson
48%
Thatch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 3:58
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsSubmissionR4 · 3:58
def. Brandon Thatch · UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henderson
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Submission · R4
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 52% vs Thatch at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thatch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendersonThatch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Thatch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Henderson
Thatch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.8
51.8
Performance Avg
49.3
34
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
33
Henderson
Thatch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
8.1
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
4
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance5
0Clinch3
4Ground0
Henderson
Thatch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henderson
Thatch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
52
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Henderson
Thatch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
33
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Henderson
Thatch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Thatch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
HendersonThatch
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedThatch
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (53% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Thatch targets the head (88% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Thatch
0/0R00/0
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Thatch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaSubmission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11